Saturday, September 22, 2012

Autumn Arrived Today...Pretty Quiet Pattern for the Next Two Weeks

Autumn officially arrived today at 10:49 a.m. EDT. The weather was mild with a few showers and thunderstorms across the Northeast and New York City. Late this afternoon a brief shower occurred in the city. The GFS model is indicating a relatively quiet pattern over the first two weeks of autumn across the Northeast and the Upper Midwest. However, the period begins with a relatively strong vortex or upper-level low over the Great Lakes and Ontario that produces scattered showers and storms across the Northeast and the Great Lakes. The vortex quickly lifts into eastern Canada and the flow becomes mostly zonal or west to east over most of the lower 48 states by Saturday, September 29, 2012.

By Wednesday, October 3, 2012, the GFS model is forecasting another cut-off low or vortex to dig across southern central Canada into the upper Midwest. At this point, the model is bringing a potential tropical storm system up along the eastern seaboard with a soaking rainmaking storm cross near Long Island on October 3, 2012. The vortex over the upper Midwest creates a southerly flow at 500 mb that could steer a tropical storm system up the coast. Of course, this more than one week away and this forecast will likely change in the next several days. After this potential coastal or tropical storm event, the upper-low quickly lifts into eastern Canada and the flow becomes more zonal by October 6, 2012. Let's see how this forecast changes in the coming days. 

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Follow George Wright on Twitter


Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Gusts to 50 mph across the Northeast Today with Heavy Rain...

Strong winds and heavy rains for the Northeast today with heavy thunderstorms possible. A Wind Advisory is in effect for most of the Northeast and the NYC metro area for today for wind gusts to 50 mph.  A Coastal Flood Advisory is also in effect for the NYC metro area.  A cold front with a strong southerly wind will move across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states today.  Drier weather tomorrow.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.  Follow George Wright on Twitter.


Saturday, September 08, 2012

Tornado Today in Breezy Point, Queens...More Storms This Afternoon

A Tornado Watch is in effect through 9 PM tonight for the entire NYC metro area. A tornado was confirmed in Breezy Point Queens around 11 AM today. Another twister may have touched down in Canarsie, Brooklyn. Dew points in the 70s combined with a cold front and a strong upper-level jet is produced a line of heavy thunderstorms from southern Quebec to Virginia late this afternoon. Strong winds, hail and dangerous lightning is expected. The potential for a tornado is possible as well. Sunny and nice weather tomorrow and most of next week.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.