Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Powerful Storm Continues to Produce Strong Winds, Heavy Snow, Sleet and Rain Across the Northeast...

The Blizzard Warning continues for the interior suburbs of New York City into New England. The Blizzard Warning for the city and Long Island was discontinued early this morning as warmer air moved in from the ocean.  The NAM model once again forecasted the storm very well and indicated that there would be a changeover to sleet and rain across Long Island and the city.  The NAM first correctly forecasted that the track of the storm would be closer to the New Jersey coast which allowed for warming in the upper levels of the atmosphere. There was a period of heavy sleet for 3 or 4 hours this morning in Central Jersey and the city.  The sleet changed back to snow by 11 a.m. Radar shows that the snow should end in the mid-afternoon.  Unlike last years major snowstorm in January 2016, the weather after this storm will be colder than normal which will keep the snow around on the ground into the Spring season.  Peak wind gusts so far include 45 mph at Bridgeport, 43 mph at Newark, 35 mph in Central Park, 45 mph in Montauk. At 11:00 a.m., sleet/snow is falling in Central Park, 31, snow in Linden, 30, rain in Toms River, 36, heavy rain in Westhampton, 40, heavy snow in Albany, 21. The storm is located east of New Jersey, it will move northeast to Cape Cod this evening. Snowfall amounts so far include 13.0 inches in Mahwah, 8.0 inches in Ringwood, 11 inches in Monroe, 11.1 inches in Pearl River, 3.5 inches in North Babylon. There may be a few snow showers or flurries tonight and tomorrow, otherwise the weather will be unseasonably cold through Friday. There is a chance of some light snow or rain this weekend.
George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. Visit our website at WrightWeather.com. Follow George Wright on Twitter @gwweather.



















































Monday, March 13, 2017

Blizzard Warning in Effect for New York City and Coastal New Jersey, Winter Storm Warnings in Effect Elsewhere, Up to 2 Feet of Snow for Interior New Jersey to Central New England...

Blizzard Warnings and Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect throughout a large portion of the Northeast through Tuesday night and Wednesday. The heaviest snow will fall across the interior of New Jersey into New England. A Blizzard Watch is in effect for Boston. The latest NAM and EURO models show a change to sleet/rain in New York City, Long Island and southern/coastal New Jersey due to a more western track from earlier runs. The NAM is outputted 2.21" of melted water equivalent precipitation in only 12 hours for La Guardia Airport.  Thicknesses are forecast to increase to 541-543 but the upper level temperatures remain at or below freezing. The NAM has the 850 low tracking up Jersey Shore to central LI. This model was very accurate in the large January 2016 blizzard. The GFS model is slightly colder and a little farther east with the storm track. The rain/snow line will be a close call and will reduce accumulations where the snow changes to sleet and/or rain.
George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. Visit our website at WrightWeather.com. Follow George Wright on Twitter @gwweather.