Thursday, October 25, 2012

GFS Model Update....Sandy Forecast to Move Into the Northeast

Although it is still a few days away, the models are indicating the likelihood of Sandy being drawn into a large upper-level low pressure system that is diving in from the west.  The official NOAA surface forecast charts are below.  The GFS model is forecasting that the storm will be moving close to New York City Tuesday evening.  The central pressure is forecast at 10 PM Tuesday to be 958 mb or 28.29 inches.  Wind gusts to 60 mph, coastal flooding with a full moon, urban flooding, downed trees and powerlines, rough surf and beach erosion are all possible with this storm.  More than 6 inches of rain can fall near the storm center. The exact track of the storm will greatly influence the degree to which the storm will affect a particular region.  The storm is likely to make landfall anywhere from Delaware to southern Maine.  More updates in later model runs.   

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.  Follow George during this storm and this winter season on Twitter.